The Global Warming Challenge

Evidence-based forecasting for climate change

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Archive for July, 2007

Al Gore's Response

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This statement does not preclude Mr. Gore from taking action at a future time. Mr. Gore has not responded directly, and there seems to be a communication problem as his involvement in Global Warming Challenge would take him only five minutes. Professor Armstrong remains hopeful that Mr. Gore will lend his prestige and influence to furthering a scientific approach to climate forecasting.

Written by climatebet

July 7th, 2007 at 7:04 pm

Armstrong Remains Hopeful

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Armstrong Remains Hopeful that Al Gore will Spend Five Minutes to Aid the Scientific Approach to Climate Change Forecasting

It was falsely reported through the media that Al Gore replied “no” to the Global Warming Challenge. What his Communications Director and Scheduler said was, “Please understand that Mr. Gore is not taking on any new projects at this time.” This does not preclude taking action at a future time.

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Written by climatebet

July 7th, 2007 at 6:23 pm

Armstrong on Good Day Philadelphia | Fox 29 News

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Click here for the full-length video of the television interview. Broadcast live Thursday, July 7th, 2007 at 7:15am.

Armstrong on Fox 29

Prof. Scott Armstrong from Penn’s Wharton School talks about how he can’t find any forecast model that predicts global warming. He has offered to make a bet with Al Gore over climate change. So far, Gore hasn’t taken him up on it.

Written by climatebet

July 6th, 2007 at 10:39 pm

How would you respond?

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The Gore camp responds. Click Continue Reading for Scott Armstrong’s response and additional correspondence.

Received Thursday, June 28, 2007:

Thank you for inviting Mr. Gore to Speak at the International Symposium on Forecasting yesterday. We are sorry that Mr. Gore was unable to attend. I hope that the event went well.

Rachel VanCleave

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Written by climatebet

July 6th, 2007 at 10:00 pm

Dr. Kesten Green Featured on Counterpoint

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Click here for the audio of the interview. Click “Listen now” and move the slider to about 34 minutes to hear the relevant clip.

Making predictions is a difficult business, Dr Kesten Green an expert in the field, says that many scientists when looking at the future impact and extent of climate change fail to take into account the basic principles of forecasting.    

Counterpoint is a program on the Radio National Network of the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, presented by Michael Duffy and Paul Comrie-Thompson. 

Written by climatebet

July 2nd, 2007 at 1:13 pm

News Coverage

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Special Report with Brit Hume recently covered the challenge with the piece “One Expert Is Willing to Bet Money Al Gore Is Wrong About Global Warming.” Interview by FOX News Channel’s Matthew Hill.

Armstrong says he hasn’t gotten a response yet — and Gore’s office did not return a call from us asking for reaction to the challenge.

• Armstrong was also featured on American Family Radio News. Interview was done by Jim Brown, education reporter for American Family Radio News.

• Australia’s Courier Mail featured Dr. Kevin Trenberth as well as Armstrong and Green’s work in the article “Forecasts all up in the air.” Article by Bob Carter.

In a paper [presented] at the 27th International Symposium on Forecasting in New York this week, Scott Armstrong and Kesten Green audit the relevant chapter in the IPCC’s latest report. They find that “in apparent contradiction to claims by some climate experts that the IPCC provides ‘projections’ and not ‘forecasts’, the word ‘forecast’ and its derivatives occurred 37 times, and ‘predict’ and its derivatives occur 90 times” in the chapter.

Are you waiting for Gore’s response too? Why not digg us? 

Written by climatebet

July 1st, 2007 at 7:33 pm