The Global Warming Challenge

Evidence-based forecasting for climate change

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Scott Armstrong To Speak At American Enterprise Institute

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On Tuesday February 26th, 2008, Scott Armstrong will speak at a panel on the Strengths and Weaknesses of Climate Models, hosted by the American Enterprise Institute in Washington D.C. A summary of the event is available by clicking on, and full event details are available at the AEI website.

Start: Tuesday, February 26, 2008 9:00 AM
End: Tuesday, February 26, 2008 12:15 PM
Location: Wohlstetter Conference Center, Twelfth Floor, AEI, 1150 Seventeenth Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20036

The spectrum of environmental policy challenges—from climate change to nuclear waste storage to coastal shoreline erosion—depend on sophisticated forecasting and modeling techniques. How sound and reliable are our environmental models? What are the inherent limits of environmental science when attempting to forecast the future under different policy regimes? Are there ways to improve environmental forecasting for policymaking purposes?

Daniel Botkin, a research professor in the Department of Ecology, Evolution and Marine Biology at the University of California, Santa Barbara, and Orrin Pilkey, the James B. Duke Professor Emeritus of Geology at Duke University, will discuss past performance in environmental modeling. J. Scott Armstrong, a forecasting expert and professor of marketing at the Wharton School, and Jim Manzi, CEO of Applied Predictive Technologies, will discuss the strengths and weaknesses of climate models. Stephen F. Hayward, AEI’s F. K. Weyerhaeuser Fellow, and Kenneth P. Green, a resident scholar at AEI, will moderate.

Written by climatebet

February 18th, 2008 at 1:41 pm

Posted in j scott armstrong

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