The Global Warming Challenge

Evidence-based forecasting for climate change

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Mr Gore closer on 23 of 54 weeks to June

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With a spell of some warmer than average weather over the last three months, the notional Al Gore’s bet on the IPCC’s .03C per annum warming forecast has been on the money for 23 out of 54 weeks. On the other hand, Scott Armstrong’s bet that temperatures would not change from the 2007 average in any predictable way has been on the money for the other 31 weeks, thus bettering the Gore hit rate by 35%.

Written by admin

July 13th, 2012 at 3:23 am

Posted in Uncategorized