The Global Warming Challenge

Evidence-based forecasting for climate change

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To reach Professor J. Scott Armstrong with questions regarding The Global Warming Challenge, email armstrong at wharton dot upenn dot edu.

To reach Kesten C. Green with questions regarding Public Policy Forecasting, email kesten at kestencgreen dot com.

To reach Al Gore as we have with general inquiries or correspondence, phone: 615.327.2227, fax: 615.327.1323. Or send correspondence to:

Office of the Honorable Al Gore & Mrs. Tipper Gore
2100 West End Avenue
Suite 620
Nashville, TN 37203

Written by climatebet

June 17th, 2007 at 1:58 pm

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  1. Global warming and man’s ego – we break everything and then like God’s, can fix it – a crutch we have leaned on for decades.

    The Milankovitch Theory (he explains it a lot better than me)

    Looking at the Global Warming package as a whole, I did some research (regarding “long” time historical ice age periods) and it appears that major ice ages occur every 80,000 to 120,000 years apart with some minor ice ages in-between.

    Assuming major ice ages occur every 100,000 years on average, there is a theorem that justifies Global warming exists naturally due to 100,000 year cycles in sun and earth orbits, planet wobble around the poles, and equatorial bulges in the Earth.

    Using this 100,000 year average that a major ice age does occur, that means from one major ice age it will be 100,000 years till then next one implies that dead in-between the two major ice ages there is a “peak” high temperature.

    50% of the time from the last ice age the temperature “in general” climbs upward toward the middle of the period (the 50,000 year point) and then you have “global cooling” for then 2nd half of that 100,000 year period when the next major ice age occurs.

    So the question then becomes, how long ago was our last major ice age? I checked on that and if you disregard all the “little” ice age fluctuations in-between, the last major ice age was 20,000 years ago.

    That, to a mathematician, would indicate we have another 30,000 years of “natural” global warming to go till we hit the mid point high temperature and then we have 50,000 years of global cooling after that.

    So what are all the people blaming “man” for when it comes to global warming? We may have virtually nothing at all to due with global warming even though pollution in general is a bad thing and should be addressed.

    Please read: Milankovitch Theory Supported

    Also read: The insolation theory of Croll was revived in the early 1900s by Milutin Milankovitch

    A brief introduction to ice age theories

    Mark Breese

    Washington state, USA

    Mark Breese

    11 May 08 at 10:16 am

  2. New critical climate link for your interest

    Dear Mr. Ferguson,

    if you are interested about climate warming critical perspective, you could add following link to your links collection. In minimum I believe you are interested about Southern China highlights in our site.

    Best regards

    Markku Penttilä

    Mobile: +358 (0)50 400 1716

    Markku Penttilä

    17 May 08 at 6:57 am

  3. Gore is a traitor. He should be deported to whatever country he wants to go to and leave the USA. When will he be revealed for his treason and lies and by whom? Weather is a natural state and carbon dioxide is plant food.


    20 May 08 at 10:11 pm

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