The Global Warming Challenge

Evidence-based forecasting for climate change

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A flicker of hope for Mr Gore’s bet with the new year

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A jump in global mean temperatures of 0.3°C from December 2012 to January 2013 has helped to keep the bet alive as it enters the second lustrum of its 10-year term. To date, Professor Armstrong’s naive forecast has been more accurate for 40 months out of 61 and has been nearly 13% more accurate overall.

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March 1st, 2013 at 11:09 am